That's the thing; it only seems like the possibility is 50-50 because that's the instinctive conclusion that everyone makes, but if you look into it, your chance to win actually improves if you change your choice, statistically and logically.
Since your odds of losing are 2/3, switching will actually improve your chances to win.
I just looked it up, and played the game three times. The first time through, I stayed with my answer and won the game. The second and third… more times I switched my answer, and won both times as well. While I only briefly skimmed over the explanation, I really don't get why it's not a simple 50-50 sort of thing. The fact that you're initially choosing from three doors is pointless, considering a wrong door is simply removed right away, with you still having no knowledge of what is behind the other two doors. From there it could be considered starting over and choosing between two doors, as in you have a 50-50 shot at getting it right from a blind guess.
This is all whining stuff I don't like ultra realism in films I get that every day of my life I to watch an adventure in a film with imagination and people should not get to obsessed over little details like that they still were awesome
This is all whining stuff I don't like ultra realism in films I get that every day of my life I to watch an adventure in a film with imagination and people should not get to obsessed over little details like that they still were awesome
My Brother always talks to American girls on skype video voice chat with his camera
He was talking to this girl but basically just talking to himself for hours she just nods her head at everything he says
So I was walking past and suddenly he dragged me in to talk to this girl and we just stared at each other I had no idea who the hell this person was and the lag made it so slow and arkward to even interact
Me; Ok What's your fav Movie?
Her: Yes
Me: No what Movie do you like?
Her; Yeah
Me: what's America like?
Her: The notebook
Me: hmm alright what do you like about the notebook?
Her: Yeah
I just looked up at my bro making his lunch with this look why u do dis? he smiled he knew how hard it was talking to this girl
I thought the only one that I agreed with was the one about the Joker being in the Dark Knight Rises, otherwise yeah. I loved Bane though.
Maybe the one about Harvey Dent in the Dark Knight, but you know, it was pretty good.
My Brother always talks to American girls on skype video voice chat with his camera
He was talking to this girl but basically just talkin… moreg to himself for hours she just nods her head at everything he says
So I was walking past and suddenly he dragged me in to talk to this girl and we just stared at each other I had no idea who the hell this person was and the lag made it so slow and arkward to even interact
Me; Ok What's your fav Movie?
Her: Yes
Me: No what Movie do you like?
Her; Yeah
Me: what's America like?
Her: The notebook
Me: hmm alright what do you like about the notebook?
Her: Yeah
I just looked up at my bro making his lunch with this look why u do dis? he smiled he knew how hard it was talking to this girl
That's the thing; it only seems like the possibility is 50-50 because that's the instinctive conclusion that everyone makes, but if you look… more into it, your chance to win actually improves if you change your choice, statistically and logically.
Since your odds of losing are 2/3, switching will actually improve your chances to win.
Here, this video explains it pretty good:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9vRUxbzJZ9Y
The odds of your initial choice remain 1/3, while the odds of the remaining choice are 2/3. It's confusing, but it's really cool :P
I'm just going to walk though my thinking here. At the start of the game, there is obviously a 1/3 chance of randomly, correctly guessing which door is concealing the car. There is a 2/3 chance that you're going to guess wrong on your first try, so for probability purposes, we'll say that you initially pick the wrong door (without knowing at the time, of course). After doing so, the host removes one of the other "wrong" answers, so that you are only left with two doors. Based off the fact that your initial choice was probably incorrect, there is a higher probability than not that the host was choosing between the car and a goat. Obviously the host can only remove wrong answers, so this means that the only remaining door has a higher probability of containing the car and holy shit never mind this makes sense now.
That's the thing; it only seems like the possibility is 50-50 because that's the instinctive conclusion that everyone makes, but if you look… more into it, your chance to win actually improves if you change your choice, statistically and logically.
Since your odds of losing are 2/3, switching will actually improve your chances to win.
Here, this video explains it pretty good:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9vRUxbzJZ9Y
The odds of your initial choice remain 1/3, while the odds of the remaining choice are 2/3. It's confusing, but it's really cool :P
Not much difference in the main game, there are a few more charms I think, not really a big deal. But it does come with the six DLC missions and the city trials which is a collection on mini games.
Thank you for telling me I'll see if I can get this but I'll also just want dishonored as soon as possible I'm so hyped so whatever version is there to get I'll buy but GOTY is preference if I can and not out of stock
Not much difference in the main game, there are a few more charms I think, not really a big deal. But it does come with the six DLC missions and the city trials which is a collection on mini games.
@Markd4547 this song is pretty offensive to some people, particularly homosexuals, which I dislike, but man 'where the hood at?'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIeSGUK-Lyo
If you are kind enough, I would like you to give me honest critisism and tell me what you like and what you don't like, or what is wrong. Thank you for your time. ^-^
Actually, I'm on the Telltale forums far more often than I'm on Tumblr. Hell, I've only had a Tumblr account for a week. and I just do not see the big deal.
Actually, I'm on the Telltale forums far more often than I'm on Tumblr. Hell, I've only had a Tumblr account for a week. and I just do not see the big deal.
In fact, I'm only on tumblr for 20 minutes at a time.
Comments
Two things! 1) Is it wrong that I like Homestuck now? 2) Is it wrong I think a game adaptation in a telltale games style will it?
That's the thing; it only seems like the possibility is 50-50 because that's the instinctive conclusion that everyone makes, but if you look into it, your chance to win actually improves if you change your choice, statistically and logically.
Since your odds of losing are 2/3, switching will actually improve your chances to win.
Here, this video explains it pretty good:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9vRUxbzJZ9Y
The odds of your initial choice remain 1/3, while the odds of the remaining choice are 2/3. It's confusing, but it's really cool :P
Dafuq?
Katie Holmes being hotter than Maggie Gyllenhaal? I completely disagree.
No and no.
I agree Maggie is hawt :'D
This is all whining stuff I don't like ultra realism in films I get that every day of my life I to watch an adventure in a film with imagination and people should not get to obsessed over little details like that they still were awesome
I thought the only one that I agreed with was the one about the Joker being in the Dark Knight Rises, otherwise yeah. I loved Bane though.
Maybe the one about Harvey Dent in the Dark Knight, but you know, it was pretty good.
Happy one year anniversary bro
My Brother always talks to American girls on skype video voice chat with his camera
He was talking to this girl but basically just talking to himself for hours she just nods her head at everything he says
So I was walking past and suddenly he dragged me in to talk to this girl and we just stared at each other I had no idea who the hell this person was and the lag made it so slow and arkward to even interact
Me; Ok What's your fav Movie?
Her: Yes
Me: No what Movie do you like?
Her; Yeah
Me: what's America like?
Her: The notebook
Me: hmm alright what do you like about the notebook?
Her: Yeah
I just looked up at my bro making his lunch with this look why u do dis? he smiled he knew how hard it was talking to this girl
No that's next week ;P
No thanks for this tho I was gutted to about the joker to overall I still think it's an awesome trilogy
damn bro :'/
I must have damaged my brain at some point, because this is supposedly not all that difficult to understand, and yet I can't understand it at all.
Edit: Never mind, I was just being really, really, really slow for some reason.
Yay and yay!
I'm just going to walk though my thinking here. At the start of the game, there is obviously a 1/3 chance of randomly, correctly guessing which door is concealing the car. There is a 2/3 chance that you're going to guess wrong on your first try, so for probability purposes, we'll say that you initially pick the wrong door (without knowing at the time, of course). After doing so, the host removes one of the other "wrong" answers, so that you are only left with two doors. Based off the fact that your initial choice was probably incorrect, there is a higher probability than not that the host was choosing between the car and a goat. Obviously the host can only remove wrong answers, so this means that the only remaining door has a higher probability of containing the car and holy shit never mind this makes sense now.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DSXXjfPtZI
Not much difference in the main game, there are a few more charms I think, not really a big deal. But it does come with the six DLC missions and the city trials which is a collection on mini games.
I played the demo and now I have to played this game I love to be trolled tho
Thanks I think the GOTY version is sold out tho is there much of a difference?
Thank you for telling me I'll see if I can get this but I'll also just want dishonored as soon as possible I'm so hyped so whatever version is there to get I'll buy but GOTY is preference if I can and not out of stock
@Markd4547 this song is pretty offensive to some people, particularly homosexuals, which I dislike, but man 'where the hood at?'
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIeSGUK-Lyo
Killing homosexuals wtf
Killing a man just because of his sexuality is offensive to everyone :P
His a good rapper and has a great flow but his choose of lyrics here are insane XD it was interesting
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sB2_MmtMoIc
I love DMX this is my fav song
Do you even english.
Happy one year anniversary!
Can i add ya on skype?
Hmm... okay. I just won't be on skype tonight, but I'll be accepting it soon as I can.
I think it will be an interesting addition, I would like to play that from telltale. I read the first act and it's strangely addicting.
https://www.telltalegames.com/community/discussion/96143/telltale-games-app
I think so, maybe. My grammar is just shit and all.
I know right! I'm on act 5 and it's surprisingly well written!
beutiful..........................
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ED3draHdB1E
Actually, I'm on the Telltale forums far more often than I'm on Tumblr. Hell, I've only had a Tumblr account for a week. and I just do not see the big deal.
As I said above,
In fact, I'm only on tumblr for 20 minutes at a time.
Her voice is so unique and beautiful plus this song is just adorable